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Xogtii ugu dambeysay ee Maamulka Guud ee Kastamka ayaa muujineysa in bishii Oktoobar Shiinaha ay dhoofisay 7.939 milyan tan oo bir ah, 124,000 oo tan ka yar bishii hore, hoos u dhac 1.5%; Jannaayo ilaa Oktoobar, wadarta guud ee 74.732 milyan tan oo birta la dhoofiyo, korodhka 34.8% sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya.
Sannadkan, dhoofinta birta ee Shiinaha ee xawli xooggan ayaa kicisay walaac suuqa. Laga soo bilaabo Jannaayo ilaa Sebtembar, Shiinuhu waxa uu dhoofiyay 66.818 milyan oo tan oo bir ah, korodhka 31.8% sannad kasta. Marka loo eego saadka iyo baahida suuqa gudaha, saddexdii rubuc ee ugu horreeya, wax-soo-saarka birta cayriin ee Shiinaha ayaa kordhay 1.7% sannad kasta, iyo isticmaalka birta cayriin ee muuqata ayaa hoos u dhacay 1.5%. Marka la eego awoodda sahayda birta gudaha halkii ay ka ahaan lahayd baahida, dhoofinta birta si loo ilaaliyo dheelitirka sahayda iyo baahida suuqa gudaha ayaa door weyn ka ciyaartay taageerada. Marka loo eego noocyada dhoofinta, kobaca gariiradda duuban ee kulul iyo saxan dhexdhexaad ah ayaa aad u muuqda, dhoofinta saxan dahaarka leh waxay ilaalisay koritaanka joogtada ah, dhoofinta alaabada qiimaha sare leh ayaa kordhay.
In shirka dhawaan la qabtay Shiinaha Iron iyo Birta Industry Association 2023 shir xog-ururin saddexaad, Ururka Warshadaha Birta iyo Birta ee Shiinaha, agaasimaha waaxda cilmi-baarista suuqa Tong Minghua, falanqeeyay, siddeeddii bilood ee ugu horeysay, marka lagu daro Shiinaha, inta kale ee adduunka ee. Wax soo saarka birta ceeriin ayaa hoos u dhacay 2.8% sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya. Iyada oo sahayda dibadda ay hoos u dhacday, birta Shiinaha ay u dhoofiso waxay buuxisay baahida isticmaaleyaasha dibadda. Sannadkan, wax-soo-saarka birta dhoofinta ayaa ka sarreeya suuqa gudaha, iyada oo lagu saleynayo isbeddelka sarrifka, faa'iidooyinka dhoofinta birta ee ka wanaagsan iibka gudaha, soo celinta maaliyaddu waa mid aad u ammaan badan, shirkadaha birta dhoofinta awoodda ayaa aad ugu filan.
Xaaladda soo socota ee dhoofinta, khubarada warshaduhu waxay filayaan in ay saameeyaan caqabado badan, rubuci afraad ee dhoofinta birta ee Shiinaha ayaa hoos u dhici doonta, laakiin isbeddelka koritaanka sanadka-sanadka ayaa la ilaalin doonaa.
Shiinaha Steel Association ayaa falanqeeyay in xaaladda siyaasadeed iyo dhaqaale ee dunidu ay tahay mid adag oo aan degganayn, iyo arrimo aan la hubin ay si weyn u kordhay. Sida lagu sheegay warbixin ay soo saartay Hay’adda Lacagta Adduunka ee IMF bishii Oktoobar, waxa la filayaa in kobaca dhaqaalaha adduunka ee 2023 uu hoos uga dhici doono 3.5% sannadka 2022 ilaa 3.0%. Dhinaca kale, hoos u dhaca baahida dibadda ee wax soo saarka warshadaha birta ee Shiinaha ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah u muuqda, dhoofinta aan tooska ahayn ee birta ayaa la filayaa inay la kulmaan cadaadis hoose; Dhanka kale, qiimaha tamarta caalamiga ah ayaa si aad ah u kacay, qiimaha sare ee alaabta ceeriin ee badan, kordhinta cadaadiska kharashka ee shirkadaha birta.
Tong Minghua waxa uu sheegay in qiimihii birta gudaha ee dhawaantan uu ahaa mid xasiloon, qiimaha birta ee suuqyada dibada ayaa hoos u dhac ku yimi, farqiga qiimaha u dhexeeya qiimaha gudaha iyo dibada ayaa hoos u dhacay, warshada wax lagu shido ee roodhida roodhida ayaan diyaar u ahayn in la dhimo qiimaha dhoofinta, iyo dhoofinta soo jeedintu waa mid adag. Laga soo bilaabo ururka birta si ay u fahmaan xaaladda, dhawaan shirkadaha birta ee mugga dalbashada dhoofinta ayaa la dhimay.
Dhanka kale, awoodda sahayda birta ee dibadda ayaa soo hagaagaysa. Xogta la socodka Xarunta Cilmi-baarista ee Lange Steel waxay muujineysaa in bishii Sebtembar, wax soo saarka birta cayriin ee adduunka intiisa kale ee ka baxsan Shiinaha ay ahayd 67.2 milyan oo tan, ilaa 1 milyan tan bishii hore, ilaa 3.9% sannad kasta.
"Sababtoo ah la'aanta kor u kaca wax soo saarka dibadda, isbeddelka daciifinta baahida dibadda, iyo soo kabashada joogtada ah ee sahayda dibadda, Shiinaha ee dhoofinta amarka dhoofinta warshadaha birta ayaa qandaraas la galay, taas oo samayn doonta caqabad gaar ah oo ku saabsan dhoofinta birta ee Shiinaha marxaladda dambe." Wang Guoqing, oo ah maamulaha Xarunta Cilmi-baarista ee Lange Steel, ayaa yiri.
Wang Guoqing waxa uu falanqeeyay in bishii Oktoobar, dhoofinta birta ee Shiinaha ay muujisay hoos u dhac yar, sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya weli korriin la taaban karo. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, faa'iidada dhoofinta birta ee Shiinaha ayaa xoogaa daciif ah; saadka suuqa birta ee dibada sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya isbeddelka kobaca wax soo saarka caalamiga ah ee kala duwanaanshaha foosha ayaa mar kale dib u dhacay, hoos u dhaca cadaadiska baahida dibadda si uu u kordho, dhoofinta birta soo daahay ama ay sii socoto hoos u dhaca. Laakiin marka la eego bishii Nofeembar ee la soo dhaafay, iyo Diseembar, saldhigga dhoofinta birta ee Shiinaha ayaa ah mid aad u hooseeya, ayaa la filayaa inuu dhammaado sanadka laba bilood ayaa weli sii wadi doona isbeddelka koritaanka sanadka-sanadka.
